Ethereum’s next bullish trigger sits around $1,800, where several onchain and technical levels have converged into the market’s nearest major resistance zone.
Ali Martinez placed the key level at the $1,796 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band, with a daily close above that area and a successful support retest strengthening the case for a move toward Ethereum’s realized price near $2,245. The same chart set the TD Sequential resistance trendline near $1,796, placing the technical and onchain bands at almost the same level.
The setup gives traders a narrow trigger zone rather than a broad sentiment call. ETH needs to reclaim $1,796 first, then push through the TD Sequential risk line around $1,816. A break above both would put the channel’s upper boundary near $1,844 back in focus before the larger realized-price target comes into play.
URPD Supply Adds Weight To The Level
The $1,800 zone also carries heavier supply history. Roughly 4.30 million ETH changed hands around that price area on the UTXO Realized Price Distribution model, turning it into a high-volume cost-basis cluster.
That makes the zone more important than a normal round-number resistance level. Holders who last moved ETH near $1,800 may sell into a return to breakeven, while a clean reclaim can force the same zone to flip into support if demand absorbs that supply.
The $1,800 region has already acted as a major ETH battleground this year. Earlier market structure put $1,800 as a key Ethereum price zone as whale and holder behavior tightened around the same area. Later analysis kept the $1,800 support cluster in focus as the level separating recovery attempts from deeper downside risk.
MVRV Band Keeps Bulls Focused On $2,245
The MVRV setup gives the bullish case a second checkpoint above the initial breakout. The MVRV Pricing Bands model uses Ethereum’s market value and realized value to map price areas where unrealized profit or loss has historically influenced investor behavior.
The 0.8 band near $1,796 is the first reclaim level in Martinez’s chart. Ethereum’s realized price near $2,245 is the larger upside level if buyers clear the immediate resistance stack and keep ETH above the reclaimed zone.
The bullish scenario remains level-based. ETH needs a daily close above $1,796, a hold above that level as support, a move through the $1,816 TD risk line and a break of channel resistance near $1,844. That sequence would put the $2,245 realized-price area back into the market’s next major target zone.
